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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.30vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+1.31vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.60+0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.77-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.41vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.81vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3Stanford University2.470.8%1st Place
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3.31University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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5.57Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.93Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.19University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 77.6% | 17.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 6.1% | 31.4% | 25.1% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.0% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 3.1% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.7% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 27.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 37.6% |
| Claire Wiley | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.