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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.28vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.60+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.77-0.02vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.01-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.26vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-1.55vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.79-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28Stanford University2.470.8%1st Place
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3.33University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.48Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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6.84Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 78.4% | 16.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 6.3% | 31.6% | 24.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.4% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.9% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 23.7% | 36.2% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| Erin Welker | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.