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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.40+2.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.18+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.60+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.77-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.99+1.12vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01-1.55vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-1.14vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
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2.11Stanford University1.180.4%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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7.12University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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5.45Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.86Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Johnson | 22.2% | 22.3% | 21.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kit Harned | 41.0% | 29.2% | 15.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Lara Granucci | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 34.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Erin Welker | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 22.8% | 28.1% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.