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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.18+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.99+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.40+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.60+0.61vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.77-1.99vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-1.17vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Stanford University1.180.4%1st Place
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7.31University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.32Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.83Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kit Harned | 44.9% | 28.8% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 37.8% |
| Malia Johnson | 20.9% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.5% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 4.1% |
| Erin Welker | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 22.0% | 27.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.