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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.40+2.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47-0.65vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+2.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.60-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.77-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.26vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-1.13vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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1.35Stanford University2.470.7%1st Place
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5.6Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.87Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Johnson | 9.8% | 29.6% | 24.0% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 72.6% | 20.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.0% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.8% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Stephanie Seto | 3.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 22.1% | 37.6% |
| Erin Welker | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 21.3% | 27.2% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.