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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.18+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.60+1.73vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.01+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.77-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.22vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-1.61vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.79-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Stanford University1.180.5%1st Place
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3.11University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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7.22University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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6.81Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kit Harned | 46.1% | 28.5% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 18.3% | 25.5% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lara Granucci | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 9.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Stephanie Seto | 6.4% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 36.5% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| Erin Welker | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.