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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University0.55+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.77+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.99+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.60-1.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01-1.62vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-1.60vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.79-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Stanford University0.550.3%1st Place
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2.94University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.38Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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6.8Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Wood | 31.5% | 23.6% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 24.5% | 24.5% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 10.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 21.2% | 34.6% |
| Lara Granucci | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 7.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| Erin Welker | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.