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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.45+0.41vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.93+0.57vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.28+0.24vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.68+0.19vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.68-0.81vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41Tulane University2.450.7%1st Place
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2.57University of Texas0.930.1%1st Place
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3.24Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.19Texas A&M University-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.19Texas A&M University-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 69.6% | 21.7% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 14.5% | 38.2% | 27.0% | 16.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 8.0% | 19.7% | 28.8% | 27.6% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Aronson | 2.4% | 6.3% | 14.9% | 22.7% | 53.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Aronson | 2.4% | 6.3% | 14.9% | 22.7% | 53.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 5.5% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 31.8% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.