← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.45+0.40vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University-0.68+2.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas0.93-0.43vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-0.41vs Predicted
-
5Rice University0.28-1.77vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University-0.68-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.4Tulane University2.450.7%1st Place
-
4.21Texas A&M University-0.680.0%1st Place
-
2.57University of Texas0.930.2%1st Place
-
3.59Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.23Rice University0.280.1%1st Place
-
4.21Texas A&M University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Holthus | 69.7% | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Aronson | 2.9% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 23.9% | 54.2% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 15.5% | 36.5% | 27.6% | 16.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 4.0% | 15.1% | 24.4% | 30.6% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 7.9% | 20.1% | 28.2% | 28.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Aronson | 2.9% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 23.9% | 54.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.