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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.70vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.77+6.30vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46+8.29vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+5.45vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.41vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.02+0.69vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.41+2.98vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.46+2.09vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.55-6.32vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.73-4.69vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.44-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.84vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-4.97vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-6.57vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-0.58-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7College of Charleston2.4922.4%1st Place
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8.3Florida State University0.775.6%1st Place
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5.23North Carolina State University1.7812.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Miami2.3215.6%1st Place
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13.29University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
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11.45The Citadel0.192.1%1st Place
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8.41Florida Institute of Technology0.735.0%1st Place
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8.69University of South Florida1.024.3%1st Place
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9.15Rollins College0.413.9%1st Place
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12.98University of South Carolina-0.411.4%1st Place
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13.09University of North Carolina-0.461.0%1st Place
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5.68Jacksonville University1.559.7%1st Place
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8.31Clemson University0.734.9%1st Place
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9.93Eckerd College0.443.3%1st Place
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13.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.6%1st Place
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11.03Duke University0.062.4%1st Place
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10.43Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.7%1st Place
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13.82Embry-Riddle University-0.581.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 22.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 13.9% |
| May Proctor | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.6% |
| Matthew King | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Carter Morin | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 15.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.