Race 1B

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Drew Lisicki 35.4% 24.4% 19.3% 12.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 16.4% 17.4% 19.5% 18.2% 12.1% 8.9% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Connor Murphy 4.7% 5.3% 6.8% 8.0% 11.0% 16.6% 16.3% 16.1% 11.2% 3.1% 0.9%
Donald Parker 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 5.8% 10.3% 12.4% 16.8% 19.8% 14.8% 7.1% 1.8%
Cole Barney 13.7% 17.3% 15.9% 16.1% 14.5% 10.7% 6.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Kindervater 13.4% 16.3% 15.8% 17.8% 14.2% 10.9% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick Muller 7.2% 9.4% 11.7% 12.4% 16.3% 15.9% 13.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Caroline Cave 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 3.4% 3.7% 7.9% 12.8% 19.1% 26.5% 21.5%
Brion Capo 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 5.3% 8.2% 11.5% 16.3% 19.2% 16.3% 8.5% 3.6%
Sommers Kline 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 8.2% 13.6% 21.7% 44.3%
Reeves Hollar 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 3.8% 5.8% 7.3% 17.9% 30.9% 27.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.