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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.46+1.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.23+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73+5.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.54-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.62+0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.55-0.59vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.58-3.54vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Roger Williams University1.460.4%1st Place
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4.26Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
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3.45University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
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5.43University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.46Brown University0.580.2%1st Place
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6.27University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 40.9% | 24.9% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 91.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 16.9% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 1.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 15.6% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 33.2% | 3.5% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 21.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.