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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.46+1.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.54+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.13+2.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.23-1.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.55-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Roger Williams University1.460.4%1st Place
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3.38Brown University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.130.0%1st Place
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3.94Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.03University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 42.3% | 28.2% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 16.3% | 18.3% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 15.5% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Ballon | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 34.2% |
| Grant Smith | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 14.5% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 2.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.