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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.58+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.55+3.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.46-0.86vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.23-0.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.13+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.54-3.50vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Brown University0.580.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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2.14Roger Williams University1.460.4%1st Place
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3.96Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.130.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
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6.02University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 16.3% | 20.7% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Petrush | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 13.5% |
| Jack Crager | 41.2% | 26.6% | 17.1% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| Brendan Ballon | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 33.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 15.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.