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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.58+2.33vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.54+0.45vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.230.00vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.55-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.13-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Brown University0.580.2%1st Place
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2.15Roger Williams University1.460.4%1st Place
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3.45University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
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4.0Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.03University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 16.1% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack Crager | 40.8% | 26.8% | 17.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 16.0% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Grant Smith | 10.8% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 22.6% | 17.9% |
| Ryan Petrush | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% |
| Brendan Ballon | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 34.3% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.