← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.46+1.10vs Predicted
-
2Brown University0.58+1.39vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.23+0.94vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.54-0.53vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+0.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont-0.55-0.77vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-1.06-0.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.13-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.1Roger Williams University1.460.4%1st Place
-
3.39Brown University0.580.2%1st Place
-
3.94Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.47University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
-
5.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.23University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
-
6.13University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 42.5% | 27.3% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 15.8% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Grant Smith | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 15.5% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 17.9% |
| Ryan Petrush | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 14.9% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 32.5% |
| Brendan Ballon | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 22.8% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.