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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.23+2.59vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46-0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.54+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.55+0.93vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.59-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.62-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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1.98Roger Williams University1.460.5%1st Place
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3.21University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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4.99Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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4.43University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Connecticut-0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Smith | 14.0% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Jack Crager | 45.4% | 29.2% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 16.7% | 21.5% | 20.5% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.9% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 24.2% |
| Colby Green | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 26.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| Ryan Treat | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.