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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.23+2.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46-0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.54-0.14vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.55-0.57vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.59-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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1.88Roger Williams University1.460.5%1st Place
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2.86University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
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3.99University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.48Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Smith | 13.7% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 14.7% | 10.4% |
| Jack Crager | 49.8% | 25.7% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 19.3% | 25.3% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Ted Richardsson | 7.5% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 19.7% |
| Ryan Petrush | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 32.2% |
| Colby Green | 4.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 24.4% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.