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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.54+2.28vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.65vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.23-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.55+0.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-2.08vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Rhode Island0.540.2%1st Place
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2.12Roger Williams University1.460.4%1st Place
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4.65University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.89Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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5.04Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emaline Ouellette | 18.9% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Jack Crager | 40.2% | 30.7% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 8.0% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 20.2% |
| Grant Smith | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Petrush | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 30.6% |
| Evan Tofolo | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.9% |
| Colby Green | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.