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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+4.30vs Predicted
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2Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+8.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.66vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+9.52vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02+2.68vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.44+3.17vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49-4.23vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.41+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.13+1.24vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.58+3.20vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology0.73-3.37vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-1.61vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-0.78vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.41-2.00vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.19-4.53vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.73-8.68vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.32-13.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3North Carolina State University1.7813.0%1st Place
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10.43Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.3%1st Place
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5.66Jacksonville University1.5510.8%1st Place
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13.52University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
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8.37Florida State University0.774.6%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida1.024.3%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College0.443.2%1st Place
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3.77College of Charleston2.4921.2%1st Place
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9.14Rollins College0.413.6%1st Place
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11.24University of North Carolina0.133.0%1st Place
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14.2Embry-Riddle University-0.580.8%1st Place
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8.63Florida Institute of Technology0.733.9%1st Place
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11.39Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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13.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.5%1st Place
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13.0University of South Carolina-0.411.5%1st Place
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11.47The Citadel0.192.0%1st Place
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8.32Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Miami2.3216.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Matthew King | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 19.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Carter Morin | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.2% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Larson | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 24.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.