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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.28+0.77vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.20+0.14vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.91+1.03vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.48-0.44vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-2.50-0.20vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.41-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Ohio State University0.280.5%1st Place
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2.14Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
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4.03Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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3.56Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
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4.8Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.7Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 48.3% | 33.6% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emerson Becker | 33.5% | 34.3% | 20.6% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Mignogna | 6.5% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 24.9% | 25.6% | 16.2% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 7.1% | 13.4% | 27.6% | 27.0% | 18.4% | 6.5% |
| George Prokop | 1.9% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 25.3% | 40.7% |
| Alexa Hind | 2.7% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 26.9% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.