← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-0.20+1.19vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.28-0.28vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-1.48+0.51vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University-1.91+0.08vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-2.41-0.29vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-2.50-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
-
1.72Ohio State University0.280.5%1st Place
-
3.51Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
-
4.08Ohio State University-1.910.0%1st Place
-
4.71Ohio State University-2.410.0%1st Place
-
4.8Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Becker | 29.4% | 38.5% | 20.5% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 52.0% | 29.1% | 14.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 9.4% | 12.8% | 27.8% | 24.1% | 19.5% | 6.4% |
| Michael Mignogna | 4.8% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 26.6% | 25.5% | 16.6% |
| Alexa Hind | 2.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 19.4% | 27.1% | 35.8% |
| George Prokop | 2.4% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.