Race 3B

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Drew Lisicki 36.2% 25.4% 16.6% 13.7% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 15.8% 19.4% 19.2% 16.3% 10.7% 9.5% 6.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Kindervater 12.5% 13.4% 17.1% 17.1% 16.3% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 4.5% 4.5% 7.4% 7.5% 12.1% 17.3% 16.4% 15.4% 10.5% 3.8% 0.6%
Cole Barney 14.5% 17.6% 15.9% 15.5% 13.3% 12.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Donald Parker 3.1% 4.4% 4.8% 7.2% 9.4% 12.6% 17.7% 16.8% 13.7% 8.3% 2.0%
Brion Capo 3.8% 4.4% 4.1% 5.8% 8.5% 12.2% 15.3% 19.2% 15.9% 8.8% 2.0%
Patrick Muller 7.6% 8.7% 10.9% 12.5% 15.8% 14.1% 13.1% 11.0% 4.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Caroline Cave 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 3.6% 5.8% 11.0% 21.4% 25.5% 23.8%
Reeves Hollar 0.6% 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 6.3% 8.8% 17.0% 26.1% 32.1%
Sommers Kline 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 8.4% 14.3% 26.1% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.