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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.50+1.08vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.71+0.24vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27-0.16vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-2.22-0.08vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.37-0.82vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-4.39-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Purdue University-0.500.4%1st Place
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2.24Ohio State University-0.710.3%1st Place
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2.84Ohio State University-1.270.2%1st Place
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3.92Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
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4.18Ohio State University-2.370.0%1st Place
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5.74Michigan State University-4.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 36.9% | 33.3% | 18.0% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Hershey | 34.2% | 27.0% | 23.9% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Williams | 17.4% | 22.0% | 28.9% | 23.1% | 7.9% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Avery | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.7% | 27.0% | 36.5% | 4.7% |
| Dylan Jones | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 27.0% | 39.6% | 9.5% |
| Quinn Schwartz | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 9.4% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.