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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.71+1.30vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.50+0.02vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27-0.16vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-4.39+1.70vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.37-0.84vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.22-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Ohio State University-0.710.3%1st Place
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2.02Purdue University-0.500.4%1st Place
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2.84Ohio State University-1.270.2%1st Place
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5.7Michigan State University-4.390.0%1st Place
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4.16Ohio State University-2.370.0%1st Place
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3.98Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 29.8% | 30.6% | 24.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 41.7% | 28.7% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 17.1% | 22.3% | 30.5% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 0.5% |
| Quinn Schwartz | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 10.3% | 82.6% |
| Dylan Jones | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 26.6% | 40.2% | 9.1% |
| Alexandra Avery | 6.1% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 28.9% | 34.0% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.