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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.35+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.46+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.01+0.36vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.67-0.76vs Predicted
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6Gonzaga University-3.70+1.08vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.09-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.40-2.59vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.74-2.85vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-4.91-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Western Washington University0.350.5%1st Place
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2.75University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.24Western Washington University-1.670.1%1st Place
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7.08Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Oregon-2.400.0%1st Place
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7.15Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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8.33Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 51.5% | 28.0% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 19.9% | 28.3% | 24.6% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 11.9% | 19.2% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Blaser | 6.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 25.0% | 31.9% | 17.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Siena Beckett | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 26.2% | 18.9% | 7.7% | 1.0% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 24.5% | 36.2% | 15.9% |
| Elias West | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 8.0% | 19.5% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.