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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+2.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.58vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+0.95vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77+3.03vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.58+7.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.02+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46+4.65vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.13+1.88vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.44-0.37vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-0.17vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-3.27vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.79vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-6.19vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.41-2.37vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-3.32vs Predicted
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17Duke University0.06-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72College of Charleston2.4920.8%1st Place
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4.19University of Miami2.3217.2%1st Place
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5.58Jacksonville University1.5510.7%1st Place
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4.95North Carolina State University1.7814.2%1st Place
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8.03Florida State University0.774.5%1st Place
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13.38Embry-Riddle University-0.580.6%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida1.024.8%1st Place
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12.65University of Central Florida-0.461.2%1st Place
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10.88University of North Carolina0.132.6%1st Place
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9.63Eckerd College0.443.4%1st Place
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10.83The Citadel0.192.1%1st Place
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8.73Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
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8.21Florida Institute of Technology0.734.7%1st Place
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7.81Clemson University0.734.7%1st Place
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12.63University of South Carolina-0.411.2%1st Place
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12.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.3%1st Place
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10.66Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 20.8% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.2% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 23.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 18.4% |
| Daniel Larson | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Carter Morin | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.