Race 4B

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cole Barney 12.6% 15.6% 16.2% 17.5% 17.2% 11.4% 5.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucas Kindervater 14.2% 15.3% 17.4% 17.7% 12.8% 12.2% 6.0% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Drew Lisicki 34.4% 25.9% 17.9% 11.1% 6.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Muller 6.1% 8.7% 9.2% 10.5% 15.2% 17.9% 14.8% 10.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.1%
John Reddaway 18.3% 18.1% 18.6% 16.2% 11.4% 8.9% 5.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Donald Parker 3.2% 4.3% 5.4% 7.4% 7.6% 12.5% 17.8% 17.4% 14.7% 8.1% 1.6%
Connor Murphy 6.5% 5.6% 7.0% 9.6% 14.2% 13.4% 17.3% 13.4% 9.2% 3.5% 0.3%
Reeves Hollar 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 5.5% 9.7% 16.8% 27.6% 31.5%
Brion Capo 2.6% 4.0% 4.9% 5.0% 8.1% 11.9% 14.1% 20.3% 16.6% 9.0% 3.5%
Caroline Cave 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 2.8% 2.4% 4.0% 8.5% 11.6% 20.8% 24.2% 22.8%
Sommers Kline 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 4.5% 7.2% 15.3% 25.2% 40.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.