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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon-0.46+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-2.09+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.40+1.38vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35-4.21vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.01-3.71vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.67-3.76vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.70-1.89vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.74-2.87vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-4.91-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Oregon-2.400.0%1st Place
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1.79Western Washington University0.350.5%1st Place
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3.29University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.24Western Washington University-1.670.1%1st Place
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7.11Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
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7.13Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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8.3Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Avey | 22.1% | 28.4% | 25.3% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 23.4% | 23.0% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Siena Beckett | 2.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 26.1% | 18.2% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 50.1% | 28.7% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 14.4% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Blaser | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 25.6% | 35.9% | 14.3% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 25.4% | 32.3% | 17.8% |
| Elias West | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 17.5% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.