← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.35+1.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Oregon-1.01+1.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-0.46+0.08vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University-0.93-1.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-2.19-0.19vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-1.67-2.03vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-2.09-2.25vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-3.74-0.91vs Predicted
-
10Gonzaga University-3.70-1.86vs Predicted
-
11Gonzaga University-4.91-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.06Western Washington University0.350.4%1st Place
-
3.96University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
-
3.08University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
-
3.8Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
-
5.81University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
-
4.97Western Washington University-1.670.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.09Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
-
8.14Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
-
9.34Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 44.2% | 27.0% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 11.1% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 19.2% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.3% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Euseekers Williams | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 24.3% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Blaser | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 25.5% | 34.6% | 15.6% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 26.3% | 34.1% | 17.2% |
| Elias West | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 19.5% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.