Race 10A

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emily Avey 19.2% 24.9% 20.9% 13.3% 12.5% 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Turloff 45.1% 26.2% 16.1% 8.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rowan Clinch 11.4% 12.7% 16.4% 20.7% 17.9% 12.8% 6.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Cassius Tossavainen 9.9% 16.1% 18.4% 20.3% 16.5% 11.7% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Molly McLeod 4.4% 5.1% 8.6% 9.1% 13.4% 18.5% 24.5% 11.3% 4.7% 0.4%
Kevin McGann 0.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 3.2% 5.6% 8.1% 25.3% 34.4% 17.5%
Gabi Feleciano 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.7% 2.7% 5.4% 9.8% 28.5% 34.4% 15.2%
Euseekers Williams 3.0% 5.1% 5.9% 10.3% 12.7% 18.0% 23.8% 15.9% 4.8% 0.5%
Calvin Blaser 5.4% 7.6% 10.8% 13.4% 17.4% 19.7% 16.0% 7.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Elias West 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 3.0% 7.9% 19.4% 66.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.