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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.35+1.04vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.93+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.01-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.09+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.40+0.14vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.67-3.00vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.70-0.98vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.91-0.67vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.74-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Western Washington University0.350.5%1st Place
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3.8Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Oregon-0.460.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Oregon-2.400.0%1st Place
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5.0Western Washington University-1.670.1%1st Place
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8.02Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
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9.33Gonzaga University-4.910.0%1st Place
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8.1Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 45.2% | 26.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 11.5% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 19.4% | 21.6% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 9.5% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 22.8% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Siena Beckett | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 24.5% | 19.2% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Blaser | 5.2% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 26.8% | 31.9% | 15.6% |
| Elias West | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 17.5% | 66.7% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 23.9% | 36.1% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.