← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon-1.38+1.07vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-1.71-0.63vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-2.53-0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-2.42-1.76vs Predicted
-
7Gonzaga University-3.87-1.98vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-4.39-3.43vs Predicted
-
10Gonzaga University-5.40-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.07University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
-
2.37Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
-
3.38Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
-
3.24University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
-
5.02Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
-
5.57Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
-
6.35Gonzaga University-5.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadie Creemer | 40.3% | 29.3% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 29.0% | 29.9% | 23.4% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hans Scheyer | 10.9% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 28.5% | 15.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 14.5% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 26.2% | 13.9% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 32.7% | 29.8% | 11.3% |
| Kate Furman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 22.9% | 37.9% | 23.6% |
| Ben Walters | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 8.5% | 20.8% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.