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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University-1.71+0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.38-0.97vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-2.53-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.42-2.75vs Predicted
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7Gonzaga University-3.87-1.96vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-4.39-2.44vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-5.40-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
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2.03University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
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3.37Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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5.04Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
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5.56Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
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6.35Gonzaga University-5.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 29.4% | 29.2% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 40.3% | 31.0% | 18.0% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hans Scheyer | 11.3% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 27.5% | 15.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 14.0% | 16.1% | 25.4% | 25.2% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 33.0% | 29.8% | 11.3% |
| Kate Furman | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 22.3% | 38.3% | 23.5% |
| Ben Walters | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 20.8% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.