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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon-2.42+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.38-0.85vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-2.53-0.39vs Predicted
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5Gonzaga University-3.87+0.44vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.71-3.43vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.47-4.07vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.39-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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2.15University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
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3.61Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
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5.44Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
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2.57Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
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4.93Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
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5.88Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tuttle | 14.3% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 39.1% | 28.3% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Hans Scheyer | 11.5% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 24.0% | 18.7% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 30.8% | 28.9% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 26.8% | 27.3% | 21.8% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Chris Connor | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 26.2% | 16.0% |
| Kate Furman | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 23.0% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.