Race 5B

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 19.5% 24.7% 18.6% 17.3% 9.2% 6.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Donald Parker 5.0% 4.5% 6.5% 9.8% 14.1% 19.8% 18.1% 13.0% 7.9% 1.3%
Drew Lisicki 38.7% 28.1% 19.6% 8.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Muller 7.2% 10.3% 12.4% 19.2% 20.4% 14.0% 9.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Connor Murphy 6.2% 9.0% 8.9% 12.5% 15.9% 18.3% 18.0% 7.1% 3.6% 0.5%
Lucas Kindervater 17.7% 16.9% 23.8% 17.2% 11.8% 7.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Reeves Hollar 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 2.1% 3.0% 5.9% 7.2% 18.4% 29.7% 31.2%
Caroline Cave 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 3.3% 5.3% 6.0% 13.2% 19.6% 27.1% 21.4%
Brion Capo 3.2% 4.1% 6.2% 8.3% 13.9% 16.0% 20.3% 17.5% 7.7% 2.8%
Sommers Kline 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.3% 4.6% 7.2% 17.3% 21.8% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.