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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.95vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.26vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+0.83vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.71vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.77+1.38vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+1.16vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.02-1.25vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06+0.04vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.58+1.54vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.19-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.20vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.46-2.10vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.41-3.37vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.46-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5College of Charleston2.4922.6%1st Place
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3.95University of Miami2.3217.7%1st Place
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5.26Jacksonville University1.5511.3%1st Place
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4.83North Carolina State University1.7812.8%1st Place
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7.71Florida Institute of Technology0.734.9%1st Place
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7.38Florida State University0.775.9%1st Place
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8.16Rollins College0.413.9%1st Place
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7.52Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
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7.75University of South Florida1.025.6%1st Place
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10.04Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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12.54Embry-Riddle University-0.581.1%1st Place
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10.02The Citadel0.192.5%1st Place
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11.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.9%1st Place
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11.9University of Central Florida-0.460.7%1st Place
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11.63University of South Carolina-0.411.7%1st Place
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12.01University of North Carolina-0.461.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 22.6% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.7% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 24.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Polk Baggett | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 17.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% |
| May Proctor | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.