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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-2.53+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-1.38+0.14vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.71-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.42-3.50vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.47-3.05vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.87-3.58vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.39-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
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2.14University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
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2.52Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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4.95Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
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5.42Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
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5.92Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Scheyer | 13.3% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 2.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 37.6% | 30.7% | 17.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 26.4% | 28.1% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 13.6% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 24.5% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Chris Connor | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 26.1% | 25.8% | 16.2% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 28.6% | 28.7% |
| Kate Furman | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 23.3% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.