← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Oregon-1.38+0.15vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-2.42+0.46vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-1.71-1.48vs Predicted
-
5Gonzaga University-3.47-0.03vs Predicted
-
7Gonzaga University-4.39-0.99vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-3.87-3.59vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-2.53-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.15University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
-
3.46University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
-
2.52Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
-
4.97Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
-
6.01Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
-
5.41Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
-
3.47Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadie Creemer | 40.1% | 27.5% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 11.6% | 17.7% | 21.0% | 24.2% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 26.1% | 28.0% | 23.8% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Chris Connor | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 24.5% | 29.4% | 14.7% |
| Kate Furman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 23.3% | 52.0% |
| Spencer Patten | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 28.9% | 28.8% |
| Hans Scheyer | 14.4% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.