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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon-1.38+0.14vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.71-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.42-0.51vs Predicted
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7Gonzaga University-3.47-2.04vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.87-2.60vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-2.53-5.39vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.39-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
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2.48Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
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3.49University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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4.96Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
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5.4Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
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3.61Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
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5.93Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadie Creemer | 39.9% | 27.9% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 27.4% | 29.1% | 21.9% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 12.2% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 24.8% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Chris Connor | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 25.0% | 27.7% | 15.5% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 30.1% | 27.6% |
| Hans Scheyer | 12.0% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Kate Furman | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 21.2% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.