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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-1.38+1.18vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.71-0.51vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-2.53-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.42-2.55vs Predicted
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7Gonzaga University-3.87-1.58vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.47-3.08vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.39-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
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2.49Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
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3.62Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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5.42Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
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4.92Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
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5.92Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadie Creemer | 39.1% | 27.4% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 27.8% | 28.6% | 21.7% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Hans Scheyer | 10.7% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 24.5% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 14.2% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 30.9% | 28.0% |
| Chris Connor | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 24.4% | 26.0% | 16.4% |
| Kate Furman | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.