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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon-1.38+0.14vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.71-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42-1.54vs Predicted
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6Gonzaga University-3.87-0.53vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.47-3.05vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-4.39-2.99vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-2.53-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
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2.47Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
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3.46University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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5.47Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
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4.95Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
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6.01Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
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3.51Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadie Creemer | 39.7% | 28.0% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 27.3% | 29.6% | 22.2% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 12.8% | 15.9% | 22.3% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Patten | 1.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 31.7% | 28.5% |
| Chris Connor | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 26.1% | 27.2% | 15.4% |
| Kate Furman | 1.8% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 12.2% | 23.2% | 51.6% |
| Hans Scheyer | 13.2% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 24.2% | 18.6% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.