← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon-1.38+1.12vs Predicted
-
2University of Oregon-2.42+1.44vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-2.53-2.40vs Predicted
-
7Gonzaga University-3.47-2.05vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-1.71-5.42vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-3.87-3.60vs Predicted
-
10Gonzaga University-4.39-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.12University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
-
3.44University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
-
3.6Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
-
4.95Gonzaga University-3.470.0%1st Place
-
2.58Western Washington University-1.710.2%1st Place
-
5.4Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
-
5.92Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadie Creemer | 41.6% | 26.8% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 13.1% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 23.9% | 16.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Hans Scheyer | 11.2% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 21.5% | 17.1% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Chris Connor | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 28.3% | 15.5% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 25.0% | 29.7% | 22.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Patten | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 30.2% | 27.7% |
| Kate Furman | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 22.3% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.