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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-1.38+1.19vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-2.53+1.59vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.71-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42-1.56vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-4.39-1.96vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.87-3.55vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.47-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Oregon-1.380.4%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University-2.530.1%1st Place
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2.53Western Washington University-1.710.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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6.04Gonzaga University-4.390.0%1st Place
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5.45Gonzaga University-3.870.0%1st Place
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4.77Gonzaga University-3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadie Creemer | 39.1% | 27.5% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Hans Scheyer | 10.9% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 24.0% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 25.7% | 29.5% | 23.4% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 14.3% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| Kate Furman | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 54.8% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 30.3% | 29.0% |
| Chris Connor | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 25.7% | 27.5% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.