Race 6B

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Drew Lisicki 43.4% 27.2% 14.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 19.2% 22.7% 21.5% 16.6% 10.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Kindervater 15.2% 18.3% 23.1% 16.5% 14.4% 8.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 3.7% 7.8% 10.5% 14.2% 17.3% 17.3% 16.8% 9.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Patrick Muller 8.5% 10.9% 12.5% 18.0% 18.6% 15.1% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Donald Parker 5.2% 6.1% 6.5% 9.2% 13.3% 17.7% 18.6% 16.0% 5.8% 1.6%
Brion Capo 2.5% 4.0% 6.9% 9.2% 11.0% 18.9% 20.8% 15.2% 9.4% 2.1%
Reeves Hollar 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 4.1% 5.1% 8.8% 17.9% 28.5% 30.0%
Sommers Kline 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 4.4% 6.6% 14.7% 23.6% 44.1%
Caroline Cave 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 3.4% 4.7% 6.0% 11.8% 20.4% 28.4% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.