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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.47vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+1.92vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+1.22vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.55vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+4.75vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.46+3.79vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.77-1.52vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06-0.04vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.02-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.46-1.12vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.32vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.41-3.29vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.41-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Miami2.3217.8%1st Place
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3.47College of Charleston2.4922.2%1st Place
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4.92North Carolina State University1.7811.9%1st Place
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5.22Jacksonville University1.5510.9%1st Place
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7.55Florida Institute of Technology0.736.0%1st Place
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7.51Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
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11.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.6%1st Place
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11.79University of North Carolina-0.461.7%1st Place
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7.48Florida State University0.775.2%1st Place
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9.96Duke University0.062.6%1st Place
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10.08The Citadel0.192.5%1st Place
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7.73University of South Florida1.024.8%1st Place
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11.88University of Central Florida-0.461.6%1st Place
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12.68Embry-Riddle University-0.580.9%1st Place
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11.71University of South Carolina-0.411.5%1st Place
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8.26Rollins College0.413.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 17.8% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 22.2% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% |
| May Proctor | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 25.8% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.