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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+3.87vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.37+3.32vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+1.10vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03+2.56vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.63-0.17vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.40+1.77vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.07-0.68vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.21-2.07vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.52vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.24vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.57+0.04vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.54+1.15vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.07-6.68vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-1.19-3.82vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.73-6.28vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-3.36-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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5.32SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.1Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.56Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.83Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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7.77William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.32Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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5.93Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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8.48Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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13.15Rutgers University-2.540.0%1st Place
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6.32Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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10.18Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.72Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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13.97U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 18.8% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 21.8% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 39.2% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 21.0% | 60.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.