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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+6.28vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.83+5.74vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+3.52vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.79+6.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.68+2.58vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+1.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.29+1.17vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.43-4.44vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.76-2.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.77vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-3.73vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.16vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.54-6.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.80-4.14vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.93-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.74Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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5.08College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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11.58University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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5.56Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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13.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.27Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.92Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Catherine Swanson | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Jamie Curran | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 37.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 12.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.