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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.45+6.76vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+3.92vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+1.99vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+4.48vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52+1.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-2.72vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.51+0.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.48+3.00vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.36-4.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.18vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-3.76vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-4.38vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.01-3.57vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-0.67-2.26vs Predicted
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18Fordham University-0.35-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Dartmouth College1.456.8%1st Place
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5.92Cornell University1.7911.4%1st Place
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4.99Stanford University2.0713.0%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College1.8410.0%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida0.993.9%1st Place
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7.31Old Dominion University1.526.9%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.5%1st Place
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5.28Harvard University2.1714.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Pennsylvania1.164.3%1st Place
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10.65University of Hawaii0.512.8%1st Place
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14.0Boston University-0.481.2%1st Place
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7.41Boston College1.368.1%1st Place
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10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.633.2%1st Place
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10.62University of Wisconsin0.363.3%1st Place
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12.43North Carolina State University0.011.8%1st Place
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14.74University of Texas-0.670.9%1st Place
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13.36Fordham University-0.351.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Marina Conde | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 22.6% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 30.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.