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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.92vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+0.50vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+3.43vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+0.10vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.41+2.33vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.46+4.02vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.02-1.21vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.58+2.49vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06-1.03vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-4.54vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.19-2.88vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.41-2.42vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-3.38vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.46-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9North Carolina State University1.7810.5%1st Place
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3.92University of Miami2.3218.8%1st Place
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3.5College of Charleston2.4921.9%1st Place
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7.43Florida State University0.775.1%1st Place
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5.1Jacksonville University1.5510.1%1st Place
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8.33Rollins College0.414.7%1st Place
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7.77Florida Institute of Technology0.735.4%1st Place
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12.02University of Central Florida-0.461.5%1st Place
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7.79University of South Florida1.024.5%1st Place
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12.49Embry-Riddle University-0.581.1%1st Place
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9.97Duke University0.062.3%1st Place
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7.46Clemson University0.736.7%1st Place
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10.12The Citadel0.193.1%1st Place
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11.58University of South Carolina-0.411.7%1st Place
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11.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.7%1st Place
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11.98University of North Carolina-0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 10.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.8% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.9% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew King | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 23.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% |
| May Proctor | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.