Race 1A

big-apple-classic-jesuit-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Willem Sandberg 18.7% 18.3% 16.1% 16.4% 11.3% 9.0% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 8.6% 11.7% 10.5% 12.6% 12.1% 13.6% 11.6% 10.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 11.3% 8.3% 10.3% 9.3% 13.1% 12.6% 14.1% 11.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Mackenzie Spencer 17.0% 17.7% 17.6% 12.4% 11.5% 10.6% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 5.3% 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 9.9% 12.7% 11.5% 15.6% 12.7% 8.3% 2.6% 0.3%
Louis Padnos 22.3% 21.0% 15.8% 14.0% 12.8% 6.7% 4.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Francois Conde-Jahn 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.6% 9.3% 14.1% 20.4% 15.8% 7.1% 2.5%
Jonathan Goldsmith 5.6% 4.8% 6.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.5% 14.0% 14.8% 15.9% 8.9% 3.8% 0.7%
Billy Hines 5.3% 5.6% 10.1% 9.9% 10.1% 12.6% 14.3% 13.5% 11.4% 5.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Harmen Rockler 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 4.9% 11.7% 23.5% 26.5% 20.0%
Jonathan Hatch 1.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 7.8% 16.0% 30.8% 33.4%
Tim Gorzelnik 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 5.0% 15.0% 26.9% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.