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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+3.89vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+2.53vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.21+2.90vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85+0.22vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.37+0.58vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07+0.40vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03-0.62vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.73+0.63vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.30vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.40-2.17vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-2.42vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.19-2.04vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.07-6.60vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.33-3.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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4.53Columbia University0.630.2%1st Place
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5.9Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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4.22Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.58SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.4Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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6.38Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.63Princeton University-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.83William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.58Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.96Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.4Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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10.21Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 16.5% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 24.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 74.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.