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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.09vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.96+1.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03+2.55vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.87+4.03vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.67+2.54vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+2.13vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.45-2.60vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.82-0.05vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.43vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-1.37vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.93-2.74vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.47-2.06vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.03-7.45vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.23-2.25vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.96-1.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-3.63-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Christopher Newport University1.080.3%1st Place
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3.25Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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5.55Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.03Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.54Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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4.4Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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7.95William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.57SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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8.63SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.26Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.94Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.55Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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11.75Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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13.86U. S. Military Academy-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 26.2% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 24.4% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 23.7% | 21.6% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 15.1% | 33.4% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Nic Delia | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 21.2% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.