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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.11vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.96+1.26vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.45+1.42vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.37+2.67vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.03+0.77vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+2.22vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.87+1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02+3.20vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.93-0.73vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.82-1.97vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.03-5.23vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-3.43vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.24-3.63vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.67-6.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.79vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.87-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Christopher Newport University1.080.3%1st Place
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3.26Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.42Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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6.67SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.77Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.22Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.06Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.27Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.03William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.77Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.57SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.37Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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7.72Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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14.12Rutgers University-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 26.5% | 22.2% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 23.7% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.3% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 39.2% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 21.2% | 64.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.