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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.13vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.45+2.34vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96+0.33vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.82+3.91vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.67+2.59vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.03-0.29vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.37-0.34vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+0.18vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.87-0.91vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.93-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.02+0.23vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.03-6.29vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-4.21vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-1.24-4.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.79vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.87-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Christopher Newport University1.080.3%1st Place
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4.34Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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3.33Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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7.91William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.59Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.66SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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8.18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.09Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.38Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.71Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.79SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.34Drexel University-1.240.0%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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14.1Rutgers University-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 25.6% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.7% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 24.2% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 12.3% | 41.0% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 18.6% | 64.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.