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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+2.31vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+1.01vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03+2.57vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.67+3.46vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.45-0.47vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.87+2.15vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.47+2.71vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.03-2.43vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.82-1.03vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.37-3.43vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-2.23+0.65vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.03-3.42vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-4.72vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.96-0.89vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.93-6.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-3.63-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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3.01Christopher Newport University1.080.3%1st Place
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5.57Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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7.46Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.53Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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8.15Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.71Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.57Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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7.97William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.57SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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11.65Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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8.58SUNY Stony Brook-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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8.23Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.87U. S. Military Academy-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 23.9% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 26.8% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 24.0% | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 35.1% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nic Delia | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 21.7% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.